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Global tax disruption

How tax policy may unfold in 2025

Many of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) provisions expire or change at the end of 2025. Without congressional action, taxes on individuals and corporations are scheduled to increase by approximately $3.5 trillion, with more than $2 trillion of it falling on individual taxpayers. Other expired and expiring tax provisions (for example, traditional “tax extenders”) not associated with the TCJA will also change, impacting businesses and individuals alike and adding to the scope of the so-called “tax cliff.”

The time to act is now

The 2024 presidential and congressional election outcomes mean a tax bill could happen quickly in 2025. Right now, taxpayers need to be identifying potential risks and opportunities and prioritizing issues and potential areas for policy engagement. By staying informed and actively involved, you can help shape the narrative and work to position your organization for success in 2025 and beyond.


Business implications of tax policy uncertainty

TCJA provisions expiring at the end of 2025 was one of the biggest tax policy concerns for respondents to EY’s Business Tax Policy Barometer survey (51%).

Greatest tax policy concern

Executive authority to modify tariff rates, impose trade remedies 

The executive branch has wide-ranging authority to adjust tariff levels and impose new tariffs without approval from Congress. Under many of these authorities, the investigative processes that underlie tariff changes can be expedited, and tariffs can be imposed quickly.


How the tax cliff is impacting tax policy

Prepare your business now for uncertainty ahead. With the 2017 tax cuts set to expire and a $78 billion tax bill in limbo, Martin Fiore, Deputy Tax Leader says business leaders need to prepare for headwinds while seeking opportunities. Learn about how the tax cliff is impacting tax policy.



Quantitative Economics and Statistics

QUEST offers rigorous research, economic consulting, statistical consulting and survey design services to help businesses make key data-driven decisions across a broad range of issues.



Washington Council Ernst & Young

Washington Council Ernst & Young offers clients timely, relevant Washington insights, tailored to their needs.




Sustainability tax

With urgent environmental and social action needed from business, the tax function has never had a more critical role in accelerating sustainability strategy and building long-term value.


Our latest thinking

Tax in a time of transition (April 11, 2025)

In this webcast, panelists discuss the US economy and tax policy, what’s happening at the IRS and breaking developments.

11 Apr 2025 | your local time

Pathways to budget reconciliation in 2025

Republicans control the Senate and House, meaning they can proceed with their plans for a budget reconciliation bill anchored by TCJA extensions.

Expiration and change dates of various tax provisions may increase focus on tax policy

Several tax provisions are scheduled to sunset or change over the next few years, which may be a focus in an election year.

Steps companies should take now to prepare for major tax legislation in 2025

Companies should prioritize their tax planning, advocacy, and modeling now to effectively navigate anticipated major tax legislation in 2025

12 Mar 2025 Colleen O’Neill + 1

Navigating 2025 tax policy uncertainty in mergers and acquisitions

Tax policy changes [in 2025] will have an important impact on the M&A market. Companies should stay abreast of upcoming policy activity.

10 Mar 2025 EY Americas

How to future-proof the global trade function

Master global trade complexities with strategies for integration, technology and ESG alignment. Discover how tax leaders can future-proof trade functions.

28 Feb 2025 EY Americas

How tax and trade leaders can prepare for global tariff disruption

Explore how new US tariffs reshape trade, driving tax leaders to adapt. Understand steps to build resilience and seize emerging opportunities.

17 Feb 2025 EY Americas

Active state tax legislative session expected in 2025

Governors outline tax policy priorities as legislative sessions begin.

05 Feb 2025 Scott Roberti + 1

A look ahead: President Donald Trump’s second term

A look ahead: President Donald Trump’s second term

20 Jan 2025 Bridget Neill + 1

Bring tax advisers to the board room to navigate volatility

Tax can help strategic business planning, but leaders must have direct, regular communication with advisers.

15 Jan 2025 Kevin Flynn

Tips for manufacturers to prepare for President Trump's trade policies

Preparing now will help manufacturers adapt to potential changes in international trade policies.

09 Jan 2025 Al Paul + 2

Trump, taxes and ’25—what to expect on TCJA, tariffs and tax policy

Tax changes affecting businesses will happen in 2025. The question is how quickly they will be enacted and how expansive they will be.

09 Dec 2024 EY Americas

2025 GOP trifecta: Trump's return, TCJA and other tax reforms

2025 GOP trifecta: President-elect Trump plans to enact major tax reforms likely through budget reconciliation.

The uncertain future of TCJA's IRC Section 199A

IRC Section 199A may expire at the end of 2025, causing tax implications for business owners.

18 Nov 2024 David Kirk + 1

Developments in state and local tax-related ballot measures

EY Indirect, State and Local Tax examines select state and local tax-related ballot measures.

14 Nov 2024 Scott Roberti + 2

Five tax issues to watch heading into 2025

The party that wins in November 2024, may lead to big changes in the tax code. Read about what the tax cliff means and what is expiring in 2025.

20 Sep 2024 EY Americas

    Sign up for EY Tax Alerts

    Stay up to date in today's complex and rapidly changing corporate tax environment.

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    BEPS 2.0

    BEPS 2.0 rules dramatically change the international tax landscape, potentially bringing reporting and compliance challenges to every industry.

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    Webcast series: Tax in a time of transition

    This series will discuss the US economy and tax policy, what’s happening at the IRS and breaking developments.

     


    DC Dynamics podcast series

    DC Dynamics focuses on what’s coming up in US tax policy, with a look to the past as our guide. Host Ray Beeman breaks down and examines current developments in Congress and puts them into political and policy context.

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    The New Tax Transformation Imperative

    More than half of businesses aren’t meeting their tax transformation goals.  Learn why digitization requires a reboot of your transformation approach.


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