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As FIs become more adept at coping with macroeconomic uncertainty, the outlook and sentiment for financial services M&A is starting to improve. Here are some deal trends that we expect to see in 2024:
- FIs returning to M&A. According to the most recent CEO Outlook Pulse Survey, 90% of financial services CEOs are planning to engage in M&A over the coming year, and 72% intend to increase their investments in acquisitions.
- Private equity (PE) firms, sitting on significant capital, have started to come off the sidelines and are looking at more deals. High-quality assets that have come to market have sold quickly in competitive processes, and through 2024 we should start seeing PE lean more into the M&A market.
- Generative AI (GenAI) is reaching a level of maturity where it can be leveraged at scale. The CEO Outlook Pulse Survey found 69% of financial services CEOs believe their organizations must act today on GenAI to avoid giving competitors a strategic advantage. FIs have an opportunity to harness the power of GenAI across their business. GenAI is only as smart as the data it has access to, so while FIs will partner with large tech for their GenAI infrastructure, there is an opportunity to use M&A to add, and enhance, their existing data.
- Divestments have a dual purpose. On the one hand, they can be used as a short-term tactical measure to support capital preservation. On the other hand, they can usher in transformational change. The CEO Outlook Pulse Survey found 51% of financial services CEOs were looking to actively pursue divestments over the next 12 months. FIs across banking, insurance, and wealth and asset management are facing fundamental shifts in their business models. This will drive another round of robust divestment activity, potentially including large, transformational carve-out deals.
In this issue, we take a closer look at what to expect with GenAI in retail banking and whether PE firms can achieve the ultimate prize in the wealth management advice space, offering white-glove services at scale.