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3. Regional sports media is changing the channel
Regional sports network (RSN) revenues are facing significant pressure as subscriber counts decline due to consumer cord-cutting and loss of carriage from pay TV operators, who are choosing to drop the networks rather than pass along pricey affiliate fees to customers. The combination of lower revenues with a high fixed-cost expense base (i.e., rights payments to teams) is driving a structural decline in cash flow and existential questions about the viability of the RSN business model.
Professional sports teams and leagues are looking ahead to the expiration of existing RSN rights deals. They have concerns about the durability of a critical source of team income, given the financial stress in the RSN landscape. This dynamic is a major focus for baseball, basketball and hockey teams that rely heavily on RSNs to support fan engagement throughout lengthy regular-season schedules.
To address the potential for disruption, teams and leagues are studying — and in some cases, executing on — transactions to purchase RSNs and position the business for transition to DTC streaming. Acquiring an RSN would vertically integrate content (game broadcasts and shoulder programming) with distribution and allow teams or leagues more robust connectivity with their customers. RSN ownership would also enable creative bundling opportunities. Offerings could include discounted game tickets and concessions, exclusive fan experiences, team-branded merchandise, NFTs, and tie-ins with sports betting — all geared to motivate fans to sign up for the DTC service. Advertising and sponsorship revenues are additional sources of revenue.
However, acquiring an RSN and making the pivot to streaming comes with considerable risk. DTC pricing must be high enough to offset current payments for rights fees while also being affordable enough for subscribers to discourage churn in the team’s off-season or during periods of poor team performance. This may require multiple pro teams participating in a streaming venture together to facilitate a year-round programming schedule.
4. Movie theaters look for more action
Despite the tangible momentum gained for the big blockbusters at theaters this year, studios and exhibitors are working through a recalibration of the movie business. Box office revenue is over 30% below annual totals in pre-pandemic years, according to BoxOfficeMojo.com. The total number of films released in 2022 is tracking well below the 10-year average leading up to 2020, leaving consumers with fewer options when they are considering a trip to the theater and driving down admissions industry-wide.
Studios are reviewing which genres “work” economically for theatrical releases versus a straight-to-streaming approach. Action, superhero, horror, family-friendly, rom-com and so on all bring different budgets, marketing plans, potential audience breadth and, ultimately, monetization opportunities for studios. Studios are basing release plans on a corporate agenda that is now centered on maximizing DTC — ultimately determining that some films are best suited for a streaming release.
In response, theater owners will need to recalibrate their business and financial models to account for less film product flowing through their multiplexes while staying nimble enough to capture the returns from the mega blockbusters. Theater owners are taking tactical action around loyalty programs and other steps to stay engaged with consumers. Strategically, some exhibitors are restructuring their balance sheets and shrinking theater portfolios to align with current market realities. Studios can assist too, by managing release calendars to ensure that a steady supply of films hit theaters in a cadence that includes traditional busy periods like the summer season while also load-balancing the schedule throughout the year. This will help support the operations of exhibitors and enable them to deliver a positive customer experience to moviegoers.