Despite extreme volatility, digital assets, cryptocurrencies and blockchain have quickly become permanent features of the financial services landscape, as confirmed by huge consumer and investor interest, large capital flows and increasing activity by bellwether firms. Consider the scale of activity:
- As of November 2021, 16% of Americans said they had invested in, traded or used cryptocurrency.¹
- 80% of bitcoin holders would choose to store it with their financial institution if offered.²
- $33 billion of venture capital was invested in cryptocurrencies and blockchain in 2021.³
- 84% of US and European investors are interested in institutional investment vehicles that include crypto assets, and 69% of US institutional investors would like to adopt digital assets as a part of their investment portfolio.⁴
- 94% of financial advisors have received questions about crypto, and as of 2021, 15% are allocating to crypto in client accounts, with another 14% saying they would “probably” or “definitely” add crypto allocations in 2022.⁵
- As of March 2022, about 18,500 cryptocurrencies existed, though only 10,000 were active.⁶,⁷
- The rate of crypto adoption in its first 10 years is on pace with that of internet adoption — in excess of 100 million users in the first decade,⁸ which projects to 1 billion users by 2027.
From revolution to evolution: where crypto goes from here
With all the hype, it’s easy to forget that bitcoin, the first cryptocurrency, is 10 years old. The collapse of several high-profile cryptocurrencies in spring 2022 certainly demonstrated the inherent risks, especially for speculators, and there is likely to be further rationalization. Few, if any, market analysts expect thousands of cryptocurrencies to survive, though it’s likely that some score or even hundreds may exist in the future.
The bottom line is that whatever one’s personal feelings about crypto and digital assets, and despite the extreme volatility in their value, they are here to stay. As market forces, they will be on board agendas for a long time to come. The same can be said of the metaverse. What feels revolutionary now — dramatic market activity, huge fluctuations in value and steep adoption curves — will continue to evolve.
A rapidly evolving landscape
Since our meetings in May 2022, cryptocurrencies have lost more than $2 trillion in market capitalization, and numerous regulatory enforcement actions have sparked concerns about sustaining commitment and activity on this topic in the marketplace. Nevertheless, “Crypto Winters” have occurred before, and the market has rebounded. A similar bear market four years ago saw bitcoin’s valuation 83% from its peak to as low as $3,217. By November 2021, it rebounded to nearly $69,000.9
One key difference currently is that both the institutional and retail adoption of cryptocurrency and digital assets has greatly evolved, with expanded use cases supporting money movement, payments, art, gaming, entertainment and more. Approximately 80% of central banks, including the Federal Reserve, are exploring their own digital currencies,10 while US lawmakers recently introduced a bill that would regulate most digital assets as commodities.11 At the same time, many large financial institutions have been building out their digital asset trading and custody capabilities to service clients, bolstering the space’s credibility and pushing it further into the mainstream.12
We are seeing the market downturn leading to the revisiting of operational and technology strategies within the crypto-native firms. With the decline in value, there has been a need to streamline operations, increase efficiency and reduce cost. Certain traditional financial services firms view this “retrenching” as an opportunity to accelerate their own strategies and gain competitive traction in this quickly evolving area.
Foundational concepts for the world of crypto and digital assets
Many buzzwords and a lot of jargon have attended the rise of crypto and digital assets, which make it harder to understand both individual concepts and the confluence of powerful forces that are reshaping financial services:
- The shift from an internet of content to an internet of value (or Web 3.0, as it’s called) is based on direct, permissionless and peer-to-peer (P2P) connections that eliminate the need for middlemen and enable frictionless payments.
- Blockchain, a DLT, keeps a record of each transaction occurring across a network. Because blockchains are hard to tamper with, they are ideal for facilitating information exchange and verification between parties that may not trust each other but want some form of point-in-time verification of information.
- Decentralized finance (DeFi) refers to networks of internet-based applications that make it possible for participants to buy, sell, lend and borrow digital assets without the need for a bank, broker, asset manager or centralized exchange.
- Digital assets are representations of value that can be stored and transmitted electronically. They include fungible assets (e.g., stablecoins, cryptocurrencies, central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), security tokens) that are identical to each other and, therefore, can be used and transacted interchangeably. Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) are unique and noninterchangeable assets that are stored and transmissible on a blockchain and can represent digitally native items or physical items that exist in the real world, such as art, memorabilia and tickets.
- Central bank digital currencies are digital representations of fiat currencies. Digital fiat assets are tokenized, legally recognized as cash and are backed 1:1 with fiat currencies. The digital yuan in China, the Bermuda Sand Dollar in the Bahamas and the e-Krona from Sweden are among the most common CBDCs.