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Credit risk
The Basel 3 Reforms propose numerous changes to regulatory capital for credit risk. Many of these are intended to address perceived weaknesses in banks’ internal models and reinforce the quality and consistency of capital measures. The changes include removing internally modeled options from certain exposure types and introducing floors on individual elements of the calculation.
In general, the PRA has followed the Basel standards for the majority of its proposals in the area of credit risk. However, there are a few noteworthy deviations:
- For sovereign exposures, the UK goes further than the Basel standards (and the EU proposals) in planning to remove all IRB options. This will impact many large banks that currently use risk models to determine capital levels in this area.
- Equity exposures move to the standardized approach and risk weights increase broadly in line with Basel and the EU proposed approach, although there are subtle differences in the UK definitions of the different exposure classes. The UK, like the EU, is proposing a five-year transitional period.
- In the treatment of exposures to unrated corporates, the PRA proposes a more risk-sensitive approach. Exposures that can be assessed as Investment Grade (IG) would be risk-weighted at 65% and non-IG would be risk-weighted at 135%. This compares to the Basel standards (and EU proposals) that require a uniform 100% risk weighting.
- There are deviations in the proposed UK treatment of exposures to small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The PRA proposes to remove the SME support factor, which is being retained by the EU. This will impact retail SMEs most, where the PRA sees the support factor as “doubling up” on preferential treatment. However, to mitigate the impacts on unrated corporate SMEs, the UK will introduce a new lower risk weight of 85% for this class of exposure. There is also a potential oddity in the proposals where exposures to SMEs and unrated corporates that are secured on commercial property seemingly attract a risk weight of at least 100%, which is higher than some unsecured weightings.
- As expected, there are a number of changes proposed by the PRA that cover exposures to residential real estate (i.e., mortgage lending). These include clarification of the definition of a professional landlord as one who is borrowing against more than three properties. In terms of the standardized rules, the PRA opts for a “loan-splitting” approach that generates slightly lower risk weights than other options for lending above 50% LTV. This is a moderate concession to smaller lenders, many of whom had estimated considerable capital increases from this aspect of the Basel changes. However, the UK maintains the dependency of loan-to-value (LTV) on the value of the property measured at loan origination, although permitting revaluation on refinancing. This contrasts with the EU proposals, which have moved away from origination value entirely. Regarding the IRB rules, the PRA proposes introducing a minimum level for probabilities of default (PD) of 0.1%, which is higher than the Basel floor of 0.05%. Taken together, these changes are probably intended to improve competitiveness in the mortgage market by eroding the current asymmetries of capital treatment between larger lenders that typically benefit from having IRB models, and smaller ones and new entrants that often do not.
In addition to the proposed changes to the capital rules, the PRA is signaling greater freedom of choice between IRB and standardized approaches for credit risk, albeit with limitations to prevent “cherry picking”. And by indicating that they are prepared to approve models that are “substantially compliant” rather than fully compliant, they are potentially accelerating the onerous and time-consuming process of model development, submission, and regulatory approval.
Credit valuation adjustment (CVA)
The PRA’s implementation of the CVA risk charge is broadly aligned with Basel’s proposals, with some areas of divergence. This includes the granularity of risk weights, and the specific treatment of domestic and cross-border intragroup transactions. In line with Basel, the PRA proposes no exemptions for exposures related to sovereigns, non-financial counterparties, and pension funds from the CVA charge. This is to some extent offset by a reduction of the alpha factor under the SA-CCR approach from 1.4 to 1 for non-financial counterparties and pension funds, which is a divergence from both Basel and the CRR.
Operational risk
Basel simplifies the framework for operational risk by replacing the four current approaches with a single standardized measure. This non-modeled approach is based on a basic indicator component, which is a measure of a firm’s size and economic activity, and which the PRA proposals adopt. However, the UK does not further consider historical operational losses and, in line with the EU, sets the operational risk Internal Loss Multiplier (ILM) at 1.