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EY ITEM Club

The EY ITEM Club is a leading UK economic forecasting group.

 

We produce quarterly economic UK forecasts, special reports and forecasts for Scotland and the financial services sector. We also deliver daily analysis on UK economic data.

EY has been sole sponsor of the ITEM Club for 25 years. It is the only non-governmental forecasting group to use HM Treasury's model of the UK economy. Our reports provide a detailed economic analysis and forecast of economic activity for the period ahead. They are independent of any political, economic or business bias.

 

EY ITEM Club is part of Economics, which provides knowledge, analysis and insight to help businesses understand the economic environments they operate in.

EY ITEM Club Winter Forecast 2025 – watch on-demand

Register to watch the EY ITEM Club webcast, which assesses the current position of the UK economy. The panellists discuss GDP forecasts, the labour market, inflation and interest rates, business confidence, as well as government policy. 

Watch on-demand

Featured press releases

Historic Red sandstone building with clock tower by river

Urgency to address low productivity and high labour market inactivity

The EY ITEM Club Scottish Winter forecast on Scotland’s economy, includes Scottish GVA, employment and the breakdown of sector performance.

06 Mar 2025 | Edinburgh, GBR | EY UK

Photograph of two joggers on a snowy lane in the peak district

UK economic growth downgraded after weaker-than-expected end to 2024

The EY ITEM Club Winter 2025 Forecast for the UK economy, with updates on UK Bank Rate, GDP forecast, inflation, house prices and business investment.

03 Feb 2025 | London, GBR | Rob Joyce

Scotland’s economic forecast weakens but central belt to buck trend

03 Dec 2024 | Edinburgh, GBR

UK economy growth slowed due to weak consumer spending

24 Oct 2024

Scottish GDP at highest since COVID-19 as economy grows

14 Aug 2024 | Edinburgh, GBR

EY ITEM Club Winter Forecast 2025

Download our latest report for a comprehensive analysis of the drivers impacting the UK economy. Explore insights on GDP forecasts, the labour market, inflation, interest rates and public borrowing.

Read more (PDF)

Economics

View all our economic insights which provide knowledge and analysis to help businesses understand the economic environments they operate in. 

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The team

Peter Arnold

EY UK Chief Economist
Economics leader with over 20 years of experience. Advises public and private sector clients on macroeconomics, policies, regulation and competition. Improves client strategies via analytics.
London, GBR
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