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There is a vigorous debate about the impact of the LDTR and it is often difficult to establish a direct link between the law and its possible effects. However, there are a number of areas where the city of Geneva differs from comparable Swiss cities that do not regulate rents at cantonal level.
A comparison of current and new rents (footnote 2) in 2023 (footnote 3) showed that, at 33.5%, Geneva has a significantly higher rental disparity than Zurich (18.1%), Basel (6.8%) or Lausanne (13.5%). While current rents are “only” CHF 279/m2a, the average new rent in Geneva is the highest of the five biggest Swiss cities at CHF 372/m2a. A direct consequence of this high disparity is the long average rental term of 13.7 years in Geneva. With an average rental term of 8.8 and 8.7 years respectively, Zurich and Basel have much lower rental terms by comparison. To summarise, the LDTR seems to have an effect on existing rents, but at the expense of unusually high new rents, which in turn means that tenants stay in their apartments for longer than they need to (“lock-in” effect).
A side-effect of rent regulation that is often mentioned is a reduction in renovation work by owners. This reflects the fact that the regulations mean they are unable, or only partly able, to recoup the cost of renovations from tenants, which harms their financial interests. However, an analysis based on the biggest construction database in Switzerland does not seem to confirm this trend in Geneva unequivocally (footnote 4). Based on renovation projects carried out from 2010 to 2022, there was no significant backlog in renovation activity in Geneva compared to other Swiss cities, but there was a different approach (table 2). To get around rent restrictions for whole buildings, landlords seem to decide to renovate from apartment to apartment, which leads to smaller and more numerous projects than in comparable cities (footnote 5). This alternative renovation approach is often less efficient and profitable from the owner’s perspective than a complete renovation of the building or a replacement newbuild, but does enable a gradual renewal of the building stock in compliance with the applicable legislation. It can be assumed that the rents are raised to market level after the end of the rent control period.