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How the UK economy is recovering despite a growth forecast downgrade

In this webcast, panellists discuss the latest EY ITEM Club Autumn Forecast and issues impacting the UK economy.

Related topics
Economics
Growth
Finance

The EY ITEM Club Autumn Forecast reviews the state of the UK economy in Q3 2024 and the expectations for long-term economic growth.

Our speakers explore factors which could impact the UK’s economic recovery and growth forecast, including the UK Autumn Budget announcement. Also discussed is the UK’s infrastructure investment shortfall and how this could be filled.

Topics discussed include:

  • How the UK economic recovery has become embedded in 2024.
  • What factors will contribute to the UK’s GDP growth forecast as we edge into 2025.
  • Expectations for the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee’s next move with interest rates.
  • Factors impacting the housing market.
  • Geopolitical risks to the forecast, including November’s US election.
  • Views on the UK economy’s long-term growth and the likely direction of travel for fiscal policy.

For more information, read the full UK economic forecast.

Explore the EY infrastructure report, Mind the (investment) gap: Funding and delivering capital projects amidst fiscal constraints.

24

Oct 2024

Webcast

Time

11:00 - 12:00 your local time

Watch On Demand

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24

Apr 2024

How the UK can move beyond economic stagnation and contraction in 2024

The latest EY ITEM Club Spring Forecast explores if the conditions are right for the UK to exit the economic stagnation and contraction that have loomed over the nation since 2022.
Following the recent disappointing news that the UK ended 2023 in recession, there are indications that the country began an early recovery in January, which continued into February and March.
Our speakers provide a comprehensive overview of the EY ITEM Club Spring Forecast 2024, debating the positive and negative forces influencing the UK’s economic recovery from recession.
This 60-minute webcast will:
  • Review the positives: fast-falling inflation, rising real household incomes, and actual and prospective cuts in interest rates and taxes.
  • Debate the negatives: the continued elevation of the cost of living, the slow impact of interest rate reductions and the tax burdens that are still present following the recent Budget.
  • Predict the UK’s economic position by the end of the summer and of 2024.
For more information, read the full UK Economic forecast.
Webcast

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Date

24 Apr 2024

Time

11:00 - 12:00 your local time

Presenters

Peter Arnold

EY UK Chief Economist

Full details

22

Jan 2024

Why the UK economy will finally enter a phase of growth in 2024

The latest EY ITEM Club Winter Forecast explores the challenges and opportunities linked to the UK’s economic prospects and, crucially, what this means for consumers and their spending power.
Spending in the UK was heavily impacted in 2023 due to high inflation rates, rising energy and grocery prices, and increasing mortgage rates. However, the situation in the UK could improve, with support from the UK government, the Bank of England and slowing inflation.
Our speakers provide a comprehensive overview of the EY ITEM Club Winter Forecast 2024, debating if there’s pessimism around the outlook or whether better times are ahead.
This 60-minute on-demand webcast:
  • Examines the importance of recent developments, from slowing inflation to falling oil and gas prices, despite international conflict.
  • Explores what the Bank of England has planned in terms of interest rates and tax cuts this year.
  • Debates if the housing market will stagnate rather than decline further.
  • Discusses how current and future risks will impact the UK growth forecast, including geopolitical and domestic political changes, plus the direction of the monetary policy.
For more information, read the EY ITEM Club Winter Forecast 2024.
Webcast

In this webcast, our speakers provide a comprehensive overview of the latest EY ITEM Club Winter Forecast and explore reasons for optimism for the UK’s economy. 

Date

22 Jan 2024

Time

14:00 - 15:00 your local time

Presenters

Peter Arnold

EY UK Chief Economist

Full details

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