Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM)

Why organizations should embrace decarbonization to drive organizational value

Indian companies covered in the focus sectors of the EU and US carbon regulations are more emissive than their EU and US counterparts.


In brief

  • Carbon pricing is identified as one of the most effective strategies for addressing climate change in leading geographies around the world
  • The EU and the US are projected to be the highest-risk markets for Indian companies from a carbon taxation perspective
  • The cumulative impact on Indian industries from carbon taxation is projected to be US$65 billion to US$95 billion from FY26 to FY35

The escalating global carbon emissions and the pressing need to combat climate change are closely interwoven. With the current CO2 emissions at 36.8 gigatons, the commitments for decarbonization are estimated to bring emissions up 10.6% by 2030, breaching the 40 gigaton cap.  To limit the rise of global temperature to 1.5 degrees Celsius, emissions must be reduced by 45% by 2030 and reach net zero by 2050. Sectors such as power, industry, transport, and buildings are not meeting targets due to the slow implementation of decarbonization policies and inadequate carbon pricing.

Carbon pricing, which involves imposing a price on carbon emissions, is identified as one of the most effective strategies for addressing climate change. There are two primary methods of carbon pricing: carbon taxes and emission trading schemes. Carbon taxation, which internalizes the cost of emissions for companies, is gaining significant momentum globally. In 2022, global revenue from carbon pricing initiatives reached US$95 billion, a 90% increase from 2020. This revenue growth can be attributed to higher carbon prices, broader coverage of carbon pricing instruments, and increased volume of emissions trading system auctions.

The European Union's carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) and the US's FAIR Transition and Competition Act target "hard-to-abate" sectors, including iron and steel, aluminium, refinery products, and chemicals. Since India exports a significant portion of its products to the EU and the US, which are the leading markets for these sectors, Indian companies must adhere to the set regulations by taking decarbonization measures. 

EY ESG Compass is a comprehensive digital ecosystem that seeks to help organizations evaluate their ESG maturity levels and adapt a sector-specific strategy, using the power of analytics.

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Several factors contribute to the urgency for Indian industries to decarbonize. Union's carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) certificates will come into effect in January 2026, and industries will need to disclose their emissions to comply with the regulations by October 2023. Carbon markets are being proposed in India, and companies will face increasing pressure from investors and customers to reduce emissions. Governments may also introduce regulatory changes that demand the use of "green/low carbon" products. Many global companies have committed to achieving net-zero emissions, highlighting the need for Indian companies to stay competitive.

 

If the Indian companies do not act on their decarbonization journeys sooner, they may end up losing market share, missing out on premium green product markets, and facing revenue loss. Therefore, Indian companies should estimate the impact of CBAM on their business, develop detailed greenhouse gas inventories, prepare to comply with regulations, create decarbonization roadmaps, and execute decarbonization initiatives.

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    Summary

    The impact of CBAM on Indian industries is projected to be between US$ 65 billion to US$95 billion. This impact would be much higher if industries account for the lost market opportunity of maximizing their revenues through “Green Product Premium”, which are niche products that are picking up speed in the market. To safeguard their interest, Indian industries should estimate the impact of CBAM on their business, develop detailed greenhouse gas inventories, prepare to comply with regulations, create decarbonization roadmaps, and execute decarbonization initiatives.


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