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How can brands turn fleeting deals into lasting value?

As sales season nears, New Zealand consumers are getting strategic about their splurges.


In brief:

  • The latest data from the EY Future Consumer Index offers insights into New Zealand consumer values, behaviours and priorities in a rapidly changing world.
  • New Zealanders are more optimistic than they were six months ago, but shoppers remain cautious about splashing their cash.
  • Permanent shifts in consumer behaviour challenge retailers to rethink their approach to discounts and promotions.

With the Black Friday and Christmas season sales around the corner, the October 2024 EY Future Consumer Index reveals promising signs for retailers. The October 2024 data found 10% fewer consumers are struggling with rising costs than they were 12 months ago, alongside a 9% drop in those cutting back on non-essentials. After two tough years, this is welcome news.

Early signs of better times are ahead

Yet challenges remain: over a quarter of New Zealanders (28%) expect to be worse off in six months, and 23% still worry they may need to sell their homes. The economic recovery is not lifting all boats.

What does life look like six months from now?

The recent cut to the official cash rate was an early Christmas gift for retailers – reflected in Retail NZ’s October temperature check, which revealed a boost in business optimism. Two-thirds (65%) of retailers said they are confident or very confident in their survival over the next 12 months – up from 57% the same time last year.

The fourth quarter is make-or-break for many retailers in New Zealand, with key sales events over the Labour Weekend, Black Friday and Christmas period providing a vital buffer for quieter months.

While nearly eight in 10 New Zealand consumers say they are holding off on making certain purchases until major sales events, less than half are actually planning to spend. For retailers, this presents a challenge: how do they reignite genuine excitement around their sales?

Major sales event spend
of New Zealanders expect to take part in the next major sales event
are holding off making some purchases until then.

Why the sale is not enough

It’s no secret that the “recommended retail price” (RRP) has lost its clout with many consumers. The RRP is often viewed as an inflated figure designed to make discounts appear more appealing. Years of constant sales, limited-time offers and promotions have conditioned consumers to believe they need never pay full price.

This perception is amplified by the abundance of online promotional codes and loyalty discounts, which feel like standard price adjustments rather than special offers. Many shoppers now see discount codes as part of the buying process.

For retailers, especially those gearing up for sales season, this shift in behaviour demands a rethink of pricing strategies. In a market where customers are increasingly sceptical of “deals,” retailers need to create a sense of genuine value.

The Future Consumer Index

Key Data Snapshot

How do we define customer value?

Perceptions of value are shaped by a mix of emotional, ethical and practical factors.

For some consumers, sustainability and ethical or local sourcing add value and purpose to their purchases. Others are focused on quality or exclusivity, whether that’s through limited editions or custom options.

A compelling brand story fosters trust and loyalty in some consumers, while the product experience – like thoughtful packaging or an engaging unboxing moment – can enhance perceived worth for others. And everyone wants a personalised shopping experience.

Retailers must understand what ‘personalisation’ means to them and their customers. This will be different for every retailer, and for each category. Ask yourself: What do I need to personalise and what value will that personalisation deliver?

In uncertain times, as people become more mindful of their spending, they expect more from their purchases. They want assurance that their hard-earned money is well spent – to see, feel and understand a product’s value before committing. This shift benefits brick-and-mortar stores, and our data shows 54% of consumers are gravitating towards in-store shopping. For e-commerce, the takeaway is to build a reliable and engaging online experience – something that has been a challenge in New Zealand, as I’ve previously explored.

Choice of shopping channels for major sales events

Navigating the two-way value exchange

The value exchange is a two-way street – and this is not always well understood.

 

Many companies rely on top-down metrics – like average customer value – to gauge a customer’s worth. This is helpful in a general sense, but often misses crucial nuances. To foster meaningful engagement and sustainable growth, companies should instead start from the ground up, calculating the actual value of each customer and tracking how this changes over time.

 

For a high-value customer who contributes significant revenue or has minimal service costs, it may make sense to offer loyalty perks or occasional discounts. Conversely, if a customer’s behaviour results in high support costs or frequent low-margin transactions, it may be necessary to rebalance the relationship through targeted offers, self-service options, or by making tough choices about the future of that relationship.

 

Understanding the actual value of your customers at a granular level allows you to manage the value of your ‘book of business’. Knowing what this ‘value’ is allows you to understand what ‘value exchange’ really means.

 

The challenge is knowing where to draw the line. Companies should pay attention to the “edges” of their customer base – the high-value, loyal buyers and the cost-heavy ones. Nurturing the high-value customers, moving mid-value customers up the chain, and managing costs for less profitable segments requires tailored, technology-enabled approaches.

 

While many retailers understand the basics of customer dynamics, the true challenge is to leverage data to create value for each segment without overspending on broad tactics that don’t yield strong returns.

Summary

In a market where discounts alone no longer drive excitement, the future of retail lies in shifting the value exchange and rethinking pricing strategies. This way, sales events can do more than just clear inventory – they can build a foundation for long-term customer relationships.

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