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H2 2024 IPO market outlook
The second half of 2024 will be shaped by key factors affecting the global IPO market – the varying schedule of interest rate cuts, escalating geopolitical tensions, and the election super-cycle.
Global inflation continues to cool amid varying economic conditions and regional inflation levels. The central banks’ easing cycle is likely to be disjointed with some European and emerging markets leading the way, ahead of a more hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) in the US. When central banks, including the Fed, reverse their course and start to lower interest rates, investors are expected to move their capital in search of higher returns. This shift is anticipated to increase liquidity in equity markets, emerging markets and growth-oriented sectors like technology and health and life sciences.
Geopolitical tensions could compel businesses to explore alternative IPO markets, avoiding high-risk regions and seeking more favorable regulatory environments. This shift could potentially lead to the rise of new financial hubs and alter the IPO market landscape.
Meanwhile, election-related uncertainties impact IPO timing. Some companies could postpone offerings to sidestep the unpredictable effects of electoral outcomes on market stability and investor confidence, preferring to await more stable post-election conditions.