Economic Analysis Team

EY Economic Analysis Team (EY EAT) is a unique team in the consulting industry that consists of leading experts in the socioeconomic analyses with experience acquired not only in the private sector, but also in the central bank and Ministry of Finance.

Many of EY EAT members are active at academia, developing knowledge of analytical tools that EY EAT later applies in projects for its Clients. Basing on own experience and deep understanding of the theory of economics, EY EAT uses advanced econometric techniques and economic modeling to deliver quantitative model-based solutions to real business challenges.

EY EAT has great experience in developing own methodological solutions. Its modelling approach is flexible and is subject to continuous development. Within EY EAT there are additional units distinguished, specializing in specific areas, such as shadow economy analysis.

EY EAT supports the Clients in a qualitative assessment as well as quantitative measurement of interdependencies between their business activity, regulatory environment and the whole economy. 

High quality and complexity of EY EAT analyses greatly facilitate communication process with Client’s stakeholders.

Since the establishment in 2008, EY EAT has conducted hundreds of projects for clients from various sectors of the economy, incl. energy, mining, metals, construction, retail, food, drinks, tobacco, health care, tourism, financial services, entertainment and many others. EY EAT has developed competence in a wide range of areas and is flexible to explore new challenges related to economic modelling.



Economic Impact of Trump 2.0
Sectoral and Regional Perspectives with a Focus on Europe

mpactEconomic Impact of Trump 2.0 Sectoral and Regional Perspectives with a Focus on Europeof Trump 2.0 Sectoral and Regional Perspectives with a Focus on Europe

Macroeconomic Consequences of AI: A Sectoral and Regional Perspective

Macroeconomic  consequences of AI: sectoral and regional perspective

Our Latest Thinking

The European economy is advancing at a modest pace, with a slight acceleration expected in the coming quarters

The euro area economy has been expanding at a modest rate of 0.2-0.3% q/q so far in 2024, primarily driven by a recovery in external demand and exports. Despite rising real incomes, consumer spending has been increasing sluggishly, while firms have become more reluctant to invest amid decreasing profit margins and capacity utilization, elevated real interest rates, and negative business sentiment.

25 Oct 2024 Marek Rozkrut + 1

EY European Economic Outlook – January 2024

The European economy remains in stagnation – we estimate that euro area GDP remained unchanged in 2023 Q4, following a 0.1% contraction in Q3 . This was due to various factors hampering economic growth, including suppressed real incomes, weak international demand, and tightening of monetary policy.

29 Jan 2024 Marek Rozkrut + 1

EY European Economic Outlook – October 2023

Europe’s economic malaise persists, but recovery is just around the corner

26 Oct 2023 Marek Rozkrut + 1

EY European Economic Outlook – July 2023

European economy shows resilience, but recovery will be sluggish.

28 Jul 2023 Marek Rozkrut + 1

EY European Economic Outlook – April 2023

European economy shows resilience, yet faces a bumpier recovery path.

21 Apr 2023 Marek Rozkrut

Global Economic Outlook for 2023 | A European Perspective

Persistent elevated Inflation has been increasingly weighing on household real incomes, resulting in the cost-of-living crisis and demand destruction. High energy prices also disrupt growth in energy-intensive industrial sectors, e.g. metals, ammonia, chemicals or glass producers. Central bank interest rate hikes have tightened financial conditions and adversely affected private investment. That coupled with heightened uncertainty all weigh on consumer and business sentiment, resulting in economic slowdown, with many economies poised to contract.

18 Jan 2023 Marek Rozkrut

    Publications

     

    Our selected published reports and selected scientific articles of the members of EY EAT team.



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