Transformative or bolt-on deals?
The survey also revealed that more than half (56%) of Southeast Asian respondents are looking to actively pursue M&A in the next 12 months: the highest of such sentiment since 2012 and beating the 11-year average of 44%. Issues relating to regulations; tariffs and trade flows; the strengthening of technology, talent and new capabilities; and growth into adjacent business sectors or activities are some of the drivers of greater M&A appetite.
Most deals in the next 12 months that respondents worldwide intend to pursue are targeted at bolt-ons and the acquisition of specific capabilities. Whether such smaller acquisitions will be sufficient for companies looking to position for growth in an environment that may look very different in the wake of the pandemic remains to be seen. Most corporate M&A deals in Southeast Asia tend to have bolt-on characteristics as they are easier to execute. Some companies have also attempted roll ups — where a fragmented sector is consolidated by aggregating a number of sub-scale players — but these transactions are far more difficult to execute and carry much greater risk.
However, the board should also assess together with the management whether there is a need for transformative deals that will completely change the scale and focus of operations. Current market conditions present an opportunity where bold moves, while risky, will also provide outsized returns. Transformative deals are far more difficult to get right as the management needs to support them with very strong execution under the right circumstances.
The success of the M&A approach is dependent on several factors, such as the acquisition being part of the business strategy, having a well-structured and deep analysis of the market and target, as well as correct financing of the acquisition. Other factors include adequate consideration and mitigation of transaction risks as well as a detailed value-creation thesis with proper ownership and implementation actions. The extent of articulation, ownership and implementation of the value-creation thesis makes a difference between success and failure.
Bold actions needed
While the pandemic may have turbocharged transformation plans for some companies, the route ahead is not without challenges. Southeast Asian respondents acknowledged that effective execution of the company’s strategy was hampered by a lack of leading technology, cost and capital constraints, and a lack of external advice.
The board needs to challenge the management on how the core competence of the company can be enhanced by utilizing the technology ecosystem: what to acquire, build or collaborate on. Given the rapid pace of change, companies are increasingly exploring alliances to access the best technologies available, whether at the front-, middle- or back-end. A good example of such an alliance is digital banking, where new market entrants have been formed through collaborations between entities that own the customer and those that own products and technologies. Having a consulting partner to help navigate these decisions is very useful.
The private and public capital markets are flush with cash, and a wide variety of capital providers that can provide customized solutions are looking to actively deploy capital. Therefore, companies have the choice of picking the right capital source and structure to match the requirements of the project or acquisition. Before looking outward, boards should look inward to what their own balance sheet can provide through divestment of noncore and nonoperating businesses and assets, working capital efficiency, and an efficient capital structure.
Sustainability at the core of actions
While companies acquire and grow, the board and management also need to be strong stewards of the community. Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations must be an important component of the corporate acquisition playbook. ESG and acquisition frameworks need to be updated to reflect various topics. Examples include environmental compliance, sustainable practices, operating with integrity and good corporate citizenship from the perspective of all stakeholders, such as employees, suppliers, customers, the government and the broader community in which the company operates.
We know companies that transformed and transacted in past crises emerged stronger than competitors. Companies in Southeast Asia must therefore act boldly and embrace transformation — accelerated by the right acquisitions — as a winning formula now and beyond the pandemic.
Boards should consider the following questions:
- In an era of rapid disruption, does the business strategy help maintain market leadership and growth? How does build versus buy versus collaborate combine to achieve these strategic goals?
- Is the current portfolio strategy sound or does it need to be reshaped through divestments and investments?
- What KPIs and analyses should the management use when looking at business units in their portfolios?
- Is the capital structure right, and are returns commensurate with the capital allocation to each business unit?
- Does the management fully understand the return on investment for strategic acquisitions, especially with digital and technology?
- Is the company actively looking for opportunities to build out its ecosystems beyond the usual suspects, or considering cooperation with competitors?
- Does the management have an acquisition and integration playbook that is updated and consistently implemented in each transaction?