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High and volatile commodity prices
High volatility in commodity prices has resulted in some market disruption driven in particular by the war in Ukraine. Increases in commodity prices, such as oil and natural gas, have led to a sustained increase in input costs for many manufacturers as they affect the acquisition and construction cost of many different assets (such as property, plant and equipment, intangible assets and inventories).
Many commodity producers and users enter into hedging transactions with derivatives to protect themselves from commodity price volatility. Whilst these derivatives reduced the direct impact from the recent price increases, the rise in commodity prices may trigger margin calls on the derivative contracts affecting companies' liquidity position. When markets are disrupted, derivatives may no longer perfectly offset changes to the hedged risk, resulting in the recognition of hedge ineffectiveness directly in profit or loss when applying hedge accounting. Developments may also require entities to reconsider the application of the ‘own use exemption’, for example, if physical delivery of commodities is no longer intended contrary to the initial expectation.
Increasing interest rates
Interest rates globally are rising due to increased market risk and central banks’ actions to slow down inflation. Companies that have debt will face the strong headwinds of increased borrowing costs and potentially higher refinancing costs in the future. Furthermore, many IFRS standards use discounting to account for the time value of money in measuring non-current assets and liabilities (for example, the fair value measurement of investment properties using discounted cash flows). When interest rates increase, the present value of those assets and liabilities will decrease. This may affect areas of financial reporting including impairment calculations, provisions, retirement obligations, leases, financial instruments and revalued tangible and intangible assets.
High inflation
Inflation is at a multi-decade high in many economies and more persistent than initially expected. There is a general business risk that many companies may have fixed-price sales contracts which no longer cover the cost of fulfilling those sales, making their contracts onerous. Companies may also have contracts that are explicitly inflation-linked and this may mean assets and/or liabilities, for example, real estate leases, need to be adjusted for inflation.